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A Little History Can Be a Dangerous Thing
by Harry Browne
February 12, 2003
George Santayana said, "Those who cannot remember the past are condemned
to repeat it."
Perhaps a corollary of that axiom should be: Those who know only
historical slogans should quit using them to support their causes.
For example, amateur historians remind us impatiently that the reason
Iraq must disarm (which no one else is doing) is that Hussein promised to
disarm at the end of the Gulf War in 1991.
Of course, they neglect to tell us that the "promise" was made at the
point of a gun. You don't "freely" give your money to a mugger when he says,
"Your money or your life." Promises and actions that are coerced are morally
meaningless.
But citing Hussein's promise isn't the only way history is misused.
History is invoked to justify the U.S. starting a war against a foreign
country (Iraq in 1991, Serbia in 1999, and now Iraq again) because "history
tells us" we have to stop the latest incarnation of Adolf Hitler before he
proceeds to conquer the entire world. As though Serbia or Iraq could be
compared to the power of Hitler's Germany.
And the history-sloganeers remind us over and over that millions of lives
would have been saved if only the Allies had stopped Hitler at Munich.
A historical slogan can be a wonderful thing. It allows you to reduce all
the complexities created by billions of people to a simple equation of Good
vs. Evil, white & black, us & them.
The Facts
However, the world didn't begin in 1938. And amateur historians
apparently have never bothered to go beyond their high-school history
lessons to discover what made it possible for Hitler to threaten Europe in
1938. And the background throws a completely different light on the
relevance of 1938 to today.
In 1914 Austria dominated Europe the way the U.S. dominates the world
today. The Austrian Empire included what is now Hungary, the Czech Republic,
Slovakia, Slovenia, Croatia, and Bosnia, as well as parts of Italy and
Romania.
Many Serbs thought Bosnia should be part of Serbia instead of Austria.
When the Austrian Emperor's heir apparent, Archduke Ferdinand, visited
Bosnia, he was murdered by a Bosnian Serb protesting Austrian domination.
This act sucked almost all the countries of Europe into the bloody first
World War. Austria declared war on Serbia. And because of mutual defense
treaties, Britain, France, Belgium, Romania, Greece, Portugal, Montenegro,
Russia, and even Japan went to war on behalf of Serbia. On the other side,
Germany, Italy, Bulgaria, and Turkey supported Austria.
Eventually, 15 million soldiers and civilians would be killed and at
least 20 million wounded, all because one person had been murdered
— a fitting testament to the
irrationality of war.
Stalemate
The war probably could have ended in 1917. Both sides were devastated and
seeking an armistice. But America, under no threat of attack by the Germans
or Austrians, entered the war that year —
allowing the Allies to step up the war and forcing Germany to surrender in
1918.
The Allies imposed oppressive terms on the Germans
— who, by a complicated argument, were
blamed for the entire war. Important parts of Germany were confiscated and
given to Czechoslovakia, Poland, and France. Germany was stripped of its
colonies. And the Allies forced the Germans to assume the cost of the entire
war — a price they could never hope to
pay.
To the victors go the spoils, indeed!
Enter Hitler
All that most Americans know of 1920s Germany is the decadence they've
seen in Cabaret and other movies. But here was an intellectual
country devastated by losing the resources to support itself, made to pay
horrendous reparations, and suffering from a runaway inflation that caused a
loaf of bread to cost billions of marks.
If we realize what the Germans were forced to go through, we can begin to
understand how one of the most culturally advanced countries of the world
— the home of Goethe, Schiller,
Beethoven, and Wagner — could have
fallen for a thug like Hitler.
Hitler would have been laughed out of Germany in 1910. But in 1933 he
seemed to be the only person able to end the reparations, recapture the
stolen territory, reunite families, and restore Germany's glory. The Germans
could see he was a brutal man, but they were told you can't make an omelet
without breaking a few eggs.
(Unfortunately, everyone assumes it will be someone else's eggs that will
be broken, and no one notices that the omelet never materializes.)
Conclusions
So perhaps those who love to recite historical slogans could give some
thought to a few lessons from history that are relevant to today's situation
and could help us understand something about our own future . . .
If U.S. politicians had minded their own business in 1917, instead of
plunging America into a war that didn't threaten us, an armistice would
have occurred, and the existing governments in Russia and Germany most
likely would have remained in power —
meaning no Soviet Union and no Hitler. But do-gooders always believe they
know what's best for the world — and
they claim that some simple act of force will settle matters once and for
all. It never does.
If the U.S. had stayed out of World War I, most likely there would have
been no World War II, although it's entirely possible that other wars
— more localized
— would have occurred. World War II
was the direct result of World War I —
and, more specifically, of the U.S. interfering in World War I.
If the Allies hadn't imposed draconian peace terms on Germany in 1918,
there probably would have been no Hitler to threaten anyone. Germany would
have resumed its role as an intellectual and cultural center in Europe.
(American diplomats learned their lesson and eased their demands somewhat
at the end of World War II.)
The Allies forced the Germans to promise things that could never be
delivered. And using force to exact promises from someone like Saddam
Hussein creates about as much security as ordering your cat to guard your
home. If the demands are unnatural (as expecting a country in the Middle
East to disarm certainly is), you can expect a backlash.
There always will be thugs like Hitler, Osama Bin Laden, or Saddam
Hussein in the world. But those thugs aren't dangerous to us until we
create real grievances that cause millions of people to support the thugs
with money, networking, and connections that allow the thugs to threaten
us.
There's a Lot More
We haven't even touched on some other salient facts of history that bear
on today's situation — such as the
attitude of Muslims in the Middle East toward foreigners who have invaded
and subjugated Arabs over the centuries. Nor have we looked into the way the
British and French in the mid-1900s drew unnatural boundaries in the Middle
East that were bound to lead to turmoil.
And when amateur historians remind us that Iraq invaded Kuwait in 1990
(as though that were an excuse for bullying Iraq forever) probably not one
of them could tell you why Iraq invaded Kuwait. Are they aware of the
oil disputes, the fact that Kuwait has more in common with Iraq proper than
the northern Iraqi Kurds do, or that Kuwait not too long ago was prepared to
become part of Iraq? Are they aware that the American ambassador to Iraq
gave her blessing to an Iraqi invasion of Kuwait just a few days before it
occurred?
Nor have we touched on another important part of history
— the assertions made by our government
before and during the Gulf War, assertions that later proved to be false.
There were no Iraqi troops massed on the Saudi border, no Iraqi atrocities
in Kuwaiti hospitals. The
"smart bombs" General Schwarzkopf talked about so
proudly in his TV briefings were hardly ever used in the war
— and when they were used, they
missed their targets more often than not. And the number of
innocent Iraqi
civilians killed was revised upward several times after the war.
Of course, all that is ancient history. So why dredge it up today?
Because the men who told the lies in 1991 —
Richard Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, and Colin Powell
— are the same men providing the
"evidence" that we must go to war again.
When Colin Powell says he has solid evidence for the claims he made at
the UN, we have to remember that this is what he and his associates said
before the Gulf War.
History is more than slogans.
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It is facts backed up by evidence you can verify;
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It is human nature being relived over and over;
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It is continual confirmation that we must treat our own government
with great skepticism;
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It is an admonition that initiating force never produces the
results promised for it.
And if we ignore history and listen to the slogans instead, it will be
you and I who will suffer the consequences.
When will we learn?
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